NBC NEWS: “USDA SAY IT ACCIDENTALLY FIRED OFFICIALS WORKING ON BIRD FLU AND IS TRYING TO REHIRE THEY”
From NBC News. I know the Trump Administration does not care about ordinary people dying from malnutrition, lack of access to health care, plane crashes, and radiation exposure, but I…
The “Neutral” Rate and Implications for 30-Year Mortgage Rates
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 12:24:00 PM Today, in the calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: The “Neutral” Rate and Implications for 30-Year Mortgage Rates A letter excerpt: Housing Economist Tom…
Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance decreases to 0.40% in January
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 02:16:00 PM From the MBA: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance decreases to 0.40% in January The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey…
Anthony Diercks, Daniel Soques and Jing Cynthia Wu: “Perfect Recession Indicators”
From the abstract to the paper: Define a perfect recession predictor as one that correctly predicts every recession and does not falely signal a recession when one does not occur.…
“Builder Confidence Falls on Tariff and Housing Cost Concerns” in February
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 10:00 AM AM The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Reported the Housing Market Index (HMI) was at 42, Down from 47 last month. Any…
Policy uncertainty in the us, globally
As measured by Baker, Bloom and Davis’s Epu. I was in Europe, and Conversations were in High Gear About How Things Now Saemed. And Text Mining Confirms: Figure 1: US…
NY Fed MFG, Homebuilder Survey
bee Calculated Risk On 2/17/2025 06:23:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 16, 2025 Tuesday:• at 8:30 am et, the New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey For February.…
Calculated Risk: President Washington’s FareWell Address
bee Calculated Risk On 2/17/2025 02:08:00 PM I usually celebrate President Washington’s Birthday by Reading His Farewell address. A letter excerpt: To the efficacy and permanency of your union, a…
Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January
bee Calculated Risk On 2/17/2025 10:47:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January A letter excerpt: From Housing Economist…
AP: “Trump start firings of Faa Air Traffic Control Staff Just Weeks After Fatal DC Plane Crash”
Article Lord. When I read this, I’m reminded: In 2015, during the Obama Administration, a new safety rule was adopted required electronically controlled pneumatic brakes to be installed on all…