Calculated Risk: Sunday Night Futures
at Calculated Risk on 12/08/2024 06:21:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of December 8, 2024 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500…
Almost 1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q3 2024
at Calculated Risk on 12/08/2024 08:21:00 AM From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: US Homeowners See Equity Gains Drop by More Than 5 Percent in Q3 CoreLogic® … today released the Homeowner Equity…
Who’s Real Wage? | Econbrowser
EJ Antoni writes: Today’s employment data showed further gains in earnings, but cumulative price increases have still far outpaced earnings growth over the last 4 years. According to the Household…
Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.4% Below 2022 Peak
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Schedule for Week of December 8, 2024
at Calculated Risk on 12/07/2024 08:11:00 AM The key economic report this week is November CPI. —– Monday, December 9th —– No major economic releases scheduled. —– Tuesday, December 10th…
Weekly COVID Deaths Continue to Decline
at Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 07:01:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since…
EJ Antoni Worries about the Gap between CES NFP and CPS Employment
From an X post today: There have been widening gaps between NFP and civilian employment in the recent, which he takes as evidence of serious overcounting of employment in the…
Business Cycle Indicators – Employment for November 2024
Here are some key indicators followed by NBER’s BCDC, including employment for November (227K vs. 202K consensus, 194K vs. 160K consensus, for NFP, and private NFP respectively). Figure 1: Nonfarm…
Guest Contribution: “The Business cycle and Economic Policy Uncertainty in France”
Today, we’re pleased to present a guest contribution by Laurent Ferrara (Professor of Economics at Skema Business School, Paris and Chair of the French Business Cycle Dating Committee). Since President…
Calculated Risk: Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.1% to 3.3% Range
at Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 02:35:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate has moved up a tenth to 2.9% q/q saar from the…