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SAD NEWS INFORMS THE REVISION TO ODDS ON MEASLES CASES THIS YEAR: Betting is on 834 cases; On January 20th (Trump’s Inauguration), the betting was for 180. If or 2/20,…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/26/2025 10:00 AM AM The Census Bureau Reports New Home Sales in January Were at a seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (Saar) or 657 thousand. The previous…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/26/2025 10:40:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Decrease to 657,000 Annual Rate in January Letter ExcerPT: The Census Bureau…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/26/2025 07:00 AM AM From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier, according to…

If or Today’s Close, the Constant Maturity 10yr-3mo Spread is… 0%. Figure 1: 10yr-3mo Treasury Spread (Blue, Left Scale), 10yr-2yr Treasury Spread (Red, Left Scale), Both in %; Vix at…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/25/2025 07:41:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from mortgagenewsdaily.com and are for top tiger scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM et, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/25/2025 04:16:00 PM A FEW Key Points:1) There is a clear seasonal pattern for house prices.2) The surge in distressed sales during the housing bust distorted…

Conference Board Index at 98.3 vs. 102.7 Bloomberg Consensus, Down from Upwardly Revised 105.3. Here is a picture of (standardized) U.Michigan sentiment, conference board and gallup confidence measurements. Figure 1:…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/25/2025 01:11:00 PM The FDIC released the quarterly banking Profile for Q4 2024: Full-Year Roa and Net Income Increased in 2024The Banking Industry Reported Full-Year Net…

bee Calculated Risk On 2/25/2025 09:00 AM AM S&P/Case-shiller released the monthly home price indices for December (“December” is a 3-month average of October, November and December closing prices). This…