Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Hartpel Professor at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/06/2025 02:34:00 PM On Friday at 8:30 am etn, the BLS will release the employment report for February. The consensus is for 158,000 jobs added, and…
Highest 7 Day Moving Average Since Covid… (Not sure if that date coincides with “bleach”):
bee Calculated Risk On 3/06/2025 11:50:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in February A letter excerpt: Note: The Tables for…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/06/2025 08:52:00 AM The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis Reported: The US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Announced today…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/06/2025 08:30:00 AM The Dol Reported: In the week ending march 1, the advance figures for seasonally Adjusted Initial Claims was 221,000, a decrease of 21,000…
Despite the lack of coincident indicators SUIPING A RECESSION'S UETTE (we'll see more on Friday), there are plenty of articles now SOURCEFUL and Imminent Recession: “Wall Street Banks say say…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/05/2025 07:45:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from mortgagenewsdaily.com and are for top tiger scenarios. Thursday:• at 8:30 am et, the Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims Report…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/05/2025 03:25:00 PM Notes: This Corelogic House Price Index Report is for January. The Recent Case-Shiller Index Release was for December. The Corelogic HPI is a…
+77k vs. +141k (Bloomberg Consensus). Using the 2021m07-2025m01 Relationship between ADP and BLS Measures (in Log First Differences), I nowcast +125 vs Bloomberg +108k (although the 95% prediction interval Encompasses…
