bee Calculated Risk On 2/19/2025 02:00 PM PM From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 28-29, 2025. ExcerPT: With regard to the outlook for inflation, participants…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/19/2025 09:17:00 AM Today, in the calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing Starts Decreased to 1.366 Million Annual Rate in January A letter excerpt: Total Housing…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/19/2025 08:30:00 AM From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions Housing Start:Privately-Owned Housing Starts in January Were at a SEASONALLY Adjusted Annual Rate or 1,366,000.…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/19/2025 07:00 AM AM From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 6.6 PERCENT FROM ONE WEEK Earlier, according to…
From Election Day, Five Year Inflation Breakeven Up 33 BPS; EPU Up 231. What could go wrong? Figure 1: Top Graph – EPU (Blue), 7 Day Centered Moving Average (Red);…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 07:03:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from mortgagenewsdaily.com and are for top tiger scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM et, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will…
From NBC News. I know the Trump Administration does not care about ordinary people dying from malnutrition, lack of access to health care, plane crashes, and radiation exposure, but I…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 12:24:00 PM Today, in the calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: The “Neutral” Rate and Implications for 30-Year Mortgage Rates A letter excerpt: Housing Economist Tom…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/18/2025 02:16:00 PM From the MBA: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance decreases to 0.40% in January The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey…
From the abstract to the paper: Define a perfect recession predictor as one that correctly predicts every recession and does not falely signal a recession when one does not occur.…
