bee Calculated Risk On 2/24/2025 12:56:00 PM From Wardsauto: February US Light-Vehicle Sales Maintain Growth; Inventory Resumes Gains (Pay Content). Letter ExcerPT: Sales are recording solid gains, but production slowdowns…
Beginning in the Early 1920s, the President Began to assume more prominence in setting the federal budget. The budget and accounting act of 1921 gave the president overall responsibility for…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/24/2025 10:51:00 AM Earlier, in the calculatedrisk real estate newsletter on January Existing Home Sales, clown: Existing-Home Sales decreased to 4.08 million saar in January, I…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/24/2025 08:11:00 AM Altos Reports That Active Single-Family Inventory was up 0.3% week-over-week. Inventory always declines seasonally in the winter and usually bottoms in January or…
Calshi Betting Right Now is for 300K Reduction in Force for the Federal Government (H/T Torsten Sloke): Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll Employment (Bold Black), SPF forecast (Light Blue), implied end-2025…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/23/2025 06:17:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 23, 2025 • Housing Starts and Recessions Monday:• at 8:30 am et, Chicago Fed National Activity Index…
bee Calculated Risk On 2/23/2025 11:04:00 AM This morning, Carl Quintanilla Posted a Graph on Bluesky from Bacon Supporting the US is heading towards a recession. Quintanilla Quoted Speaking: “On…
Using 5 year ahead inflation expectations from the Michigan Survey, not so much erosion in Trump 1.0. Trump 2.0 so far is another story. Figure 1: Bordo-Siklos Measure of Inflation…
That’s EJ Antoni Talking on Something Called Wealthion at Minute 3:30. It’s a free country (thus far), but really, this guy casting aspersions on other economists’ qualifications are pretty amazing.…
From the Betting Markets (Kalshi.com) Yesterday:
