Calculated Risk: Wednesday: CPI
bee Calculated Risk On 2/11/2025 07:21:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from mortgagenewsdaily.com and are for top tiger scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM et, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will…
Calculated Risk: CPI Preview
bee Calculated Risk On 2/11/2025 02:13:00 PM The Consumer Price Index for January is scheduled to be released tomorrow. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in CPI, and a…
EGG PRICES – A continued upward march?
Tomorrow, we’ll get a reading on January Egg prices at the consumer level. With futures prices at about $ 5.2 in December and $ 6.65 in January, I’d Guess Retail…
Year-Ahead CPI Inflation Expectations in January: 3%-3.3%
From Michigan, NY Fed, and Atlanta Fed Sofie: Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI Inflation (Bold Black), Cleveland Y/Y Nowcast as of 2/11 (Black +), Michigan Survey of Consumers (Red), NY Fed…
2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
bee Calculated Risk On 2/11/2025 11:07:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January A letter excerpt: Note: The tables for…
Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
bee Calculated Risk On 2/11/2025 09:32:00 AM This testimony will be live here at 10:00 am eted and also on C team 3. Report Lord. An ExcerPT: The Federal Open…
Fed Chair Powell’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
bee Calculated Risk On 2/10/2025 07:17:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Microscopically Lower to Start New Week Mortgage rates have been on a vacation from…
Business Cycle Indicators, With Monthly GDP and Household Employment Research Series
S&P Global Market Intelligence has put up monthly gdp through December. Here’s a picture of nber business cycle dating committee indicators along with monthly gdp. Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll Incl…
Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs during Presidential Terms
bee Calculated Risk On 2/10/2025 03:01:00 PM Note: I’ve received a number of requests to post this again at the conclusion of President Biden’s term. So here is another update…
Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for Mid-February 2025
bee Calculated Risk On 2/10/2025 12:19:00 PM Today, in the calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for Mid-February 2025 A letter excerpt:…