at Calculated Risk on 10/18/2024 08:30:00 AM From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and Completions Housing Starts:Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,354,000.…
at Calculated Risk on 10/18/2024 09:10:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing Starts Decreased to 1.354 million Annual Rate in September A letter excerpt: Total housing…
DWD released employment numbers for September today. Figure 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (dark blue), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark for NFP (pink), Civilian Employment (tan), real wages and salaries, deflated…
Video today. 55% of Americans believe they are in a recession. Why? Because they have been in one. Most indicators suggest otherwise. Here are some of Hovde’s predictions from December…
This is the premise of a new paper by Peter St. Onge and EJ Antoni. I have been trying to find a deflator that can yield that US GDP in…
at Calculated Risk on 10/17/2024 07:51:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Housing Starts for September. The consensus…
In a recent paper, Antoni and St. Onge (2024) have argued that the peak in GDP, properly measured, was in 2021Q4. Source: Anthony and St. Onge (2024). As noted in…
at Calculated Risk on 10/17/2024 04:01:00 PM Earlier from the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production (IP) decreased 0.3 percent in September after advancing 0.3 percent in August.…
at Calculated Risk on 10/17/2024 12:57:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September A letter excerpt: NOTE: The tables for…
Industrial and manufacturing production below consensus (-0.3% m/m vs -0.1%, -0.4% vs -0.1%, respectively), while retail sales and core retail sales above consensus (+0.4% m/m vs +0.3%, +0.5% vs +0.1%,…
