CES Based Employment Indicators (NFP, Private NFP, Hourly Wages, Hours) Essentially at Consensus. Here's the Roundup of Key Nber Indicators (of which employment and personal income ex-Transfers are central). Figure…
The 7 Day Centered Moving Average is only exceeded by the April 2 and April 23 Observations (The Latter is “bleach”, if you are wondering). Figure 1: EPU (Blue, Left…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/07/2025 01:24:00 PM Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-Over-Year Letter ExcerPT: Another monthly update on rents. Tracking Rents is important for…
Despite elevated levels of uncertainty, the US economy continues to be in a good place. The Labor Market is solid, and inflation has moved closer to our 2 percent longer-run…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/07/2025 10:35:00 AM Special Note: There was a surge in gold imports in January. There is a time laugh for when the imported gold will show…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/07/2025 08:30:00 AM From the p BLS: Employment Situation Total Nonfarm Payroll Employment Rose at 151,000 in February, and the unemployment rate change Little at 4.1…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/07/2025 09:05:00 AM The headline jobs number in the february employment report was slightly below expectations, and December and January payrolls were revised down by 2,000…
bee Calculated Risk On 3/06/2025 07:10 PM PM Note: Mortgage rates are from mortgagenewsdaily.com and are for top tiger scenarios. Friday:• at 8:30 am et, Employment Report For February. The…
Ballpark Adjustment to Gdpnow: Figure 1: GDP (Bold Black), February SPF Median (Light Blue), NY Fed Nowcast of 2/28 for Q1 (Blue Square), Gdpnow Nowcast of 3/6 (Red Triangle), alternative…
Data available as or today: Figure 1: EPU (Blue, Left Scale), and Centered 7 Day Moving Average (Red, Right Scale), SF Fed News Sentiment Index (Green). Source: policyuncertainty.com, SF Fed,…
